Press Review '09

"Industries, countries scrap over scarce high-tech metals" - so the headline of an AFP news, which refers to the research study "Rohstoffe für Zukunftstechnologien":

BERLIN (AFP)--As demand booms for ever dwindling stockpiles of rare metals used in high-tech appliances, industries and countries are scrambling to secure their supplies, according to German research.
Indium, germanium, scandium, gallium might not be household names yet, but they are vital components in the flat-screen displays, mobile phones and solar panels being snapped up by technology-hungry consumers.
Demand for these metals is set to explode over the next two decades, according to a recent report from Germany's IZT and Fraunhofer institutes for the economy ministry.
Gallium - vital for LED displays as well as flat-screen technology - is set to see demand rise more than six-fold from current production levels by 2030, the report says.
Meanwhile, demand for neodymium, used in magnetic technology, will be nearly four times more than currently produced, according to the researchers.
'The supply of rare metals is a topic that is not going to go away,' said Rolf Kreibich, IZT's scientific director.
And the battles over these rare metals have already begun. Access to reserves of coltan, the 'grey gold' used in mobile phones, is considered to be a major factor in the bloody conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Many of these rare metals are concentrated in very few countries, Kreibich said, adding that he can see conflicts resulting from the scramble to secure reliable sources.
In this domain, as in many other, China is set to become a major player. It already accounts for 97% of the world's neodymium and 'has already got its hands on other metal reserves in Africa,' Kreibich said.
The fight for rare, high-tech metals is likely to play a major part in Bolivia's future as it holds the world's largest reserves of lithium, critical for the development of batteries to run electric cars.
But it isn't just countries competing for access to the increasingly precious metals that will run the world of the future. Industries, too, will have to battle over ever scarcer resources.
Volker Handke, one of the authors of the report, made the point: 'For indium, there is competition between flat-screen technology and solar panels. Who will win?'
He added that the flat-screen industry is likely to come out on top in this particular battle as indium makes up proportionally much less of their costs.
This in turn could have a major impact on the solar panel industry, likely to expand as the market for 'green technology' grows.
Moreover, production of these metals might struggle to keep up with demand, threatening a price explosion. Many are by-products of traditional mining activities. Indium for example comes from zinc mining.
In addition, it is extremely difficult to recycle the metals, as they are often used in combination with other metals.
The market for these rare metals is 'already in the grip of speculators', Kreibich said, even though most contracts are signed over a long time period.
He called for a 'global or at least European regulation agency.'
'If the G20 (group of leading industrial and developing nations) can manage to regulate something as intangible as the financial markets, it should be possible for metal,' he said.
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The Australian journalist Cinnamon Nippard reports in the Sciencemagazine "Spectrum" on the topic "Green IT - The Buzzword of 2009". IZT-Expert Lorenz Erdmann has been interviewed by her. Her report is introduced by the following sentences: "In today's world of media-convergence, we think nothing of surfing the net, searching for recipes on Google, while uploading photos onto our social networking profile; skyping a friend and downloading a video. And these days we can do all of these things on the run, using a mobile phone.
But every single digital activity we take part in and every electronic gadget we use has an environmental cost.  Scientists estimate that information communications technology is responsible for about 2% of CO2 emissions worldwide - which is about the same as the airline industry. With that in mind, it seems that 'Green I.T' has become the buzzword of 2009."
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