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The EurEnDel Scenarios - Europe's Energy System by 2030

The three qualitative scenarios of Europe’s possible Energy Futures, which are presented in this document, are based on the findings of the Europe-wide Delphi study on Energy and Social Visions - EurEnDel. These results have been checked against multiple inputs from a considerable number of related research projects . The experts’ opinions on the 20 technology statements, which were included in the Delphi Survey, combined with the preferences for socio-economic visions of the future in the second part of the questionnaire, indicate a broad range of possible future pathways, but their fulfilment will depend on the political will inside Europe, possible pressures on the world market and other framework conditions. Thus, the purpose of displaying the results of the Delphi study in the form of scenarios is twofold:

1. To illustrate the findings of the Delphi survey by putting seemingly unrelated technology statements and their likely developments into a broader and consistent context.

2. To build a basis for further research steps within the EurEnDel project, one of which will be the indication of possible research priorities.

• Velte,Daniela; López de Araguas, Juan Pedro; Nielsen, Oliver; Jörß, Wolfram and Wehnert, Timon (2006): The EurEnDel Scenarios - Europe's Energy System by 2030. WerkstattBericht Nr. 80. Berlin: IZT – Institut für Zukunftsstudien und Technologiebewertung. Download (558.2 KB)