Göll, Edgar; Colombo, Silvia; Soler i Lecha, Eduard (2019): Imagining Future(s) for the Middle East and North Africa. Project: Middle East and North Africa Regional Architecture: Mapping geopolitical shifts, regional order and domestic transformations – MENARA. IAI - Istituto Affari Internazionali. Rom. (MENARA final reports, 2).
Middle East and North Africa: potential scenarios 2025 and 2050
ISTITUTO AFFARI INTERNAZIONALI / Italy (Co-Leitung)
DANSK INSTITUT FOR INTERNATIONALE STUDIER / Denmark
UNIVERSITE AL AKHAWAYN D'IFRANE / Morocco
Kamusal Politika ve Demokrasi Calismalari Dernegi / Turkey
KING'S COLLEGE LONDON / United Kingdom
Institute for Foreign Affairs and Trade / Hungary
EUROPEAN UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE / Italy
American University of Beirut / Lebanon
EGMONT-INSTITUT ROYAL DES RELATIONS INTERNATIONALES / Belgium
OBSERVATOIRE MEDITERRANEEN DE L'ENERGIE / France
Qatar University / Qatar
LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS AND POLITICAL SCIENCE / United Kingdom
The "Middle East and North Africa Regional Architecture: mapping geopolitical shifts, regional order and domestic transformations" - the MENARA Project - will study the geopolitical order in the making in the South and East Mediterranean Countries and the Middle East amid all deep-reaching social and political changes unfolding since 2010. The project aims at describing the main features of the regional geopolitical order, its origins, and evolution; identifying and mapping the decisive domestic, regional and global actors, dynamics and trends; building future scenarios for 2025 and 2040; and informing EU policies and strategies. It will examine whether, where and when conflict and/or cohesion dynamics prevail, the level and depth of regional fragmentation and the effects of regional and domestic processes on global dynamics and vice versa. This will be achieved by analysing ideational and material factors (national, sub and supra-national identities; religion and politics; global identities; demography; energy; economy; military; environment) and by conducting in-depth research on specific case studies on ongoing dynamics at three different levels (domestic, regional and global). All this research will be based on quantitative and qualitative methods -including fact finding missions on the ground, interviews, focus groups, Delphi surveys - and innovative foresight techniques.
Göll, Edgar; Zwiers, Jakob (2018): Technological Trends in the MENA Region: The Cases of Digitalization and Information and Communications Technology (ICT). Istituto Affari Internazionali. Rome. (MENARA Papers / Working Papers, 23).
Göll, Edgar (2016): The Future. Foresight Studies on the Middle East and North Africa. In: Soler i Lecha, Eduard; Silvia Colombo; Lorenzo Kamel; Jordi Quero (Hg.): Re-conceptualizing Orders in the MENA Region. The Analytical Framework of the MENARA Project. No.1, November 2016. Barcelona-Spain, S. 88-100.