Research Cluster

Futures Studies and Participation

Those who want to help shape the future must have the ability to communicate their ideas for it. Neither the opinion that everything will continue to develop consistently nor mere wishful thinking are productive. What it takes is foresight for the future.

The futures studies of the IZT aims to deliver a solid basis for medium and long term oriented decisions in political economic and social areas. The safeguard of the probable, the possible or the malleable are determined by the task-specific selection and combination of various scientific processes as well as the societal discourse.

Participation in the understanding of the IZT is thought of as a reflective learning process for relevant decision makers and stakeholders. It leaves the future open, expands the spectrum of possibilities and creates room to evaluate alternative futures.

Projects

© Olivier Le Moal - Fotolia.com

Trend Analysis Resource Policy

The IZT uses methods of futures studies to identify relevant resource-political trends in society. Subsequently, scientists assess these trends according to their effect on the world’s climate and resource consumption. The goal of the project is to suggest appropriate resource and climate policy measures to the Umweltbundesamt. more...
2017 - 2021
Federal Environment Agency (UBA)
© ra2 studio - Fotolia.com

LogMySelf – Discourse with young people about self-measurement

From weight training to menstruation cycles – many young people see measuring and digitally recording personal data and as a common practice. The project "LogMySelf" intends to introduce adolescents to the benefits and risks of "lifelogging" and provide them with new skills in this area. more...
2017 - 2019
Federal Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF)
© chombosan - Fotolia.com

Internal crowdsourcing in companies

This research project aims to shape internal crowdsourcing in companies to make it fair for employees. The goal is to create a cross-sector reference model together with the Berlin energy service provider GASAG. more...
2017 - 2020
Federal Ministry for Education and Research (BMBF)
© opensource.com

Norms throughout demographic change

The research project will create insight into the value system and development of norms in an ageing society marked by diversity and the use of modern technology. The goal is a well-founded catalogue of criteria for health policies and for those working in healthcare. more...
2017 - 2019
Federal Ministry of Health (BMG)
© mcmurryjulie / pixabay (CC0)

Risk analysis of emergency data management

The electronic health card should contain integrated medical emergency data on a voluntary basis, such as existing diagnoses. The IZT analyses together with a research partner the risks of the planned emergency data management. The new project started in April 2017. more...
2017
gematik Gesellschaft für Telematikanwendungen der Gesundheitskarte mbH

Guidebook for inter- and transdisciplinary research methods

The IZT composed a guidebook that supports the integration of humanities, social and cultural sciences into the research projects of the universities of applied sciences in Vienna. more...
2016 – 2017
Municipal Department of the city of Vienna
© IZT

Modelling the Greenhouse Gas Effects of Resource Politics

In the project a systemic model will be developed, in order to assess and to make visible the impacts of resource efficiency measures on greenhouse gas emissions. more...
2016-2019
Umweltbundesamt (UBA)
Architektur: Scharabi GbR / Rendering: Render-Manufaktur GbR

Collaborative living

Together with the city of Potsdam the possibilities that new forms of collaborative living offer for city development are researched. more...
2016 - 2019
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF), Förderprogramm: Sozial-ökologische Forschung (SÖF)
© Dana Smillie/World Bank (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0)

Middle East and North Africa: potential scenarios 2025 and 2040

The project will outline potential scenarios related to the course of the region in the medium (2025) and long (2040) term. The project will sharpen the European understanding of the region with a view to highlighting the potential strategies and policies that the EU is called upon to adopt in order to make its role in the region more effective. more...
2016 - 2019
European Commission
© kentoh / Fotolia

Health Apps

IZT will perform an innovation analysis on "Health Apps" in line with consortium partnership with The Office of Technology Assessment at the German Bundestag – TAB more...
2016 - 2017
German Bundestag (National Parliament of the Federal Republic of Germany) / The Office of Technology Assessment at the German Bundestag
© kentoh / Fotolia

Quantified Self - Interface between Lifestyle and Medicine

The use of devices and applications for self-measurement and self-optimization has become widespread in recent years. This trend to self-measure is called "Quantified Self". The projectexplored this phenomenon from different angles in Switzerland. more...
2016 - 2017
TA-SWISS Zentrum für Technologiefolgen-Abschätzung
© Vangerow GmbH/M. Migliazzi

Evolution2Green: Strategies for a green economy

This project aims for an integrated strategy to transform our economic system into a green economy. Economic growth should be accompanied by ecological sustainability and social justice. more...
2015 - 2018
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF), Förderprogramm: Sozial-ökologische Forschung (SÖF)
© BASF SE

Megatrends & MINT education

The project identified relevant long-term processes of transformation and their impacts for companies, academic institutions and political stakeholders in the context of MINT (mathematics, information sciences, natural sciences, and technology). more...
2015
Matrix GmbH & Co. KG für zdi - Zukunft durch Innovation
© mmp-stock

What do young people think about cognitive enhancement drugs?

What are the pros and cons of "smart drugs"? Why do young people increasingly use prescription drugs to increase their academic performance? Once again, the IZT leads a project discussing social and ethical questions of the life sciences. more...
2015 - 2016
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung
© Amprion

Megatrends in the energy industry

On behalf of the largest German transmission system operator AMPRION the IZT conducted an internal study on megatrends in the energy industry. more...
2014 - 2015
Amprion GmbH
© Creative Commons CC0 / Pixabay

New electronic media and addictive behavior

The IZTconducted a research project on the topic „new electronic media and addictive behavior“. more...
2014 - 2016
German Bundestag (National Parliament of the Federal Republic of Germany) / The Office of Technology Assessment at the German Bundestag
© Samantha Craddock/123RF Stockfoto

Berlin‘s sustainability profile

Which projects and initiatives have the potential to shape the image of Berlin’s future sustainability? The aim of this project was to identify these fields of interest and to illustrate them with new practical approaches. more...
2014 - 2016
Senatsverwaltung für Stadtentwicklung und Umwelt, Berlin
© CC0 / pixabay

Welfare-mix: Cooperation in case of Dementia

The IZT supported a research project for the cooperation of family members, specialists and volunteers in case of dementia. more...
2014
Ernst-Abbe-Hochschule Jena
© Henkel

Megatrends in Intralogistics

The IZT, together with the Research Community Intralogistics, explored processes of transformation in this sector. The intralogistics sector is specialized in the logistics within companies. The parting from the full capacity model in an era of volatile markets was central to the project. more...
2014
Forschungsgemeinschaft Intralogistik/ Fördertechnik und Logistiksysteme (IFL) e.V.
© Stiftung Zollverein / Frank Vinken

The future of the Ruhr region

“Successful regional transformation processes. Potential futures for the Ruhr region“. Under this headline, the IZT prepared international impulses for change along the Ruhr. more...
2013
Brost-Stiftung

Technikfolgenabschätzung "Kinder- und Jugendmedienschutz"

Die Kernfrage dieser Technikfolgenabschätzung lautet: "Wie werden junge User bis 16 Jahre internetfähige, mobile Geräte in den Jahren 2016 bis 2018 nutzen?" more...
2013 - 2014
LPR - Trägergesellschaft für jugendschutz.net gemeinnützige GmbH
© Kay Strasser

Sustainability 2.0 - a future concept being modernized

The German Federal Environment Agency (UBA) received recommendations from this research project that can improve the motivational function and the effectiveness of the guiding principle “Sustainable Development”. more...
2013 - 2016
Umweltbundesamt
© IZT/Lena Ganssmann

Automation 2025+

The ZVEI - German Electrical and Electronic Manufacturers renewed its collaboration with the IZT and commissioned an integrated roadmap for its member companies in the automation sector. The following two fields of the future are in focus: industrial biotechnology and recycling of materials as a source of raw materials. The time frame extends to the years 2025+. more...
2013 - 2015
ZVEI - Zentralverband Elektrotechnik und Elektronikindustrie e.V.

Integrating Social Acceptance of Electricity Grid Expansion into Energy System Modeling

Present energy system models are mainly based on techno-economical input parameters whereas social or political factors are neglected. This project explored an approach to include social acceptance in energy system modeling, focusing on electricity transmission grid expansion projects in Germany. more...
2013 – 2016
Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF)  -  Förderprogramm: Sozial-ökologische Forschung (SÖF)

How to keep the EU power sector on track to decarbonisation - Delphi Survey:

The European Climate Foundation in Brussels (ECF) wanted an assessment of the extend to which the European Commission's planned decarbonisation is on track. Therefore the IZT organized a Delphi survey among more than 100 experts in the field of energy transition in Europe. more...
2013
ECF - European Climate Foundation, Brussels
Scenario workshop with illustrator © IZT

Meetings and Conventions 2030

The societal trends and challenges most relevant for the conference and conventions industry were investigated. For this purpose the IZT developed a scenario for the year 2030th using various methods of futures research The aim was to offer guidance to meeting planners and other interested actors. more...
2012 - 2014
GCB German Convention Bureau e. V.
© Igor Yaruta/123RF Stockfoto

Demografic Change - Challenges and Recommendations for Environmental Protection

This project has the intention to produce an exploratory study about case studies from communities on their measures and activities focussed on demografic change which also have additional positive effects for environmental protection. more...
2012
Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz und Reaktorsicherheit
Umweltbundesamt
© http://images-of-elements.com

Criticality of non-fuel raw material supply for Germany

The KfW Group has commissioned a study to IZT in order to identify economically important non-fuel minerals and metals that could face severe supply problems. more...
2011
KfW Bankengruppe
 

Mobility 2030

On behalf of ADAC, the German automobile club, a set of future labs and scenario workshops have been conducted to obtain normative and action-oriented perspectives for everyday life mobility of the future. more...
2009 - 2010
ADAC e. V.
@ CC0 / unsplash / Matthiew Wiebe

European Energy Foresight Network

The ultimate objective of the EFONET project is to assess the contribution that current knowledge on energy foresight methods and on their practical application can provide to energy policy making - specifically in the framework of the transition towards a sustainable and low carbon energy system. more...
2008 - 2010
European Commission - DG Research
© StockSnap / João Silas

Methods of futures analysis and scenario analysis

With regard to the challenges and questions for the future of development, this study aims at identifying different methodological scenario approaches focusing their scopes, strengths and weaknesses. The study will discuss which instruments seem to be particularly appropriate for strategic orientation of development politics and policy. more...
2008
German Development Institute/ Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE)
 

Acceptance and Promotion Strategies for Renewable Energy Technologies on Local and Regional Level

The acceptance and support of a wide range of strata of the population and of decision-makers is urgently needed for the continued expansion of renewable energies towards being the primary means for energy and electricity provision. Addressing the accumulated questions, strategies will be developed in a series of workshops involving the relevant decision-makers, as to how the acceptance of renewable energy technologies can be funded and how their use on a regional and local level can be intensified. more...
2005-2008
German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety
 

Energy as Key Element for the Sustainable Development of Megacities - Johannesburg, South Africa

Megacities of tomorrow have a crucial role to play in transition towards global sustainable development. One of the key issues they have to address to implement sustainability is to solve the energy question: Secure energy supply, equitable access to energy resources and ecologically friendly energy production and use are fundamental prerequisites for sustainabledevelopment of the world and of Megacities in particular. more...
2005 - 2007
Federal Ministry of Education and Research

Publications

  • 2017

  • Göll, Edgar (2017): Zukunftsforschung – Anmerkungen über Entwicklungen eines wissenschaftlichen Bereichs. In: BLICKPUNKT ZUKUNFT (Viewpoint Future), S. 2-8.
  • 2016

  • Christ, Marion; Soethe, Martin; Degel, Melanie (2016): Windausbauszenarien unter Berücksichtigung gesellschaftlicher und ökologischer Rahmenbedingungen für die Simulation des deutschen Energiesystems bis 2050. Beitrag zum 14. Symposium Energieinnovation. 10.-12. Februar 2016 TU Graz, Österreich. Langfassung. Technische Universität Graz.
  • Göll, Edgar; Evers-Wölk, Michaela (2016): Zukünfte von Veranstaltungen für nachhaltige Entwicklung. In: Große Ophoff, Markus (Hg.): Nachhaltiges Veranstaltungsmanagement. Green Meetings als Zukunftsprojekt für die Veranstaltungsbranche. München: oekom verlag, S. 135-146.
  • Göll, Edgar (2016): Zukunftsfähige Zivilisierung? Nachhaltige Entwicklung als zentrales Themenfeld für Zukunftsforschung im 21. Jahrhundert. In: Popp, Reinhold; Fischer, Nele; Heiskanen-Schüttler, Maria; Holz, Jana; Uhl, André (Hg.): Einblicke, Ausblicke, Weitblicke. Aktuelle Perspektiven in der Zukunftsforschung. Wien: LIT Verlag, S. 274-287.
  • Mester, Karoline; Christ, Marion; Degel, Melanie; Bunke, Wolf-Dieter (2016): Integrating Social Acceptance of Electricity Grid Expansion into Energy System Modeling: A Methodological Approach for Germany. In: Wohlgemuth, Volker; Fuchs-Kittowski, Frank; Wittman, Jochen (Hg.): Advances and New Trends in Environmental Informatics. Stability, Continuity, Innovation. Cham, Schweiz: Springer International Publishing (Progress in IS), S. 115-129.
  • Christ, Marion; Soethe, Martin; Degel, Melanie; Wingenbach, Clemens (2016): Wind Energy Scenarios for the Simulation of the German Power System Until 2050: The Effect of Social and Ecological Factors. In: Wohlgemuth, Volker; Fuchs-Kittowski, Frank; Wittman, Jochen (Hg.): Advances and New Trends in Environmental Informatics. Stability, Continuity, Innovation. Cham, Schweiz: Springer International Publishing (Progress in IS), S. 167-180.
  • Degel, Melanie; Christ, Marion; Becker, Liv; Grünert, Judith; Wingenbach, Clemens (2016): VerNetzen. Sozial-ökologische und technisch-ökonomische Modellierung von Entwicklungspfaden der Energiewende. Projektabschlussbericht. Unter Mitarbeit von Soethe, Martin; Bunke, Wolf-Dieter; Mester, Karoline; Wiese, Frauke. Flensburg: Europa-Universität Flensburg.
  • Christ, Marion; Soethe, Martin; Degel, Melanie (2016): Windausbauszenarien unter Berücksichtigung gesellschaftlicher und ökologischer Rahmenbedingungen für die Simulation des deutschen Energiesystems bis 2050. In: Institut für Elektrizitätswirtschaft und Energieinnovation (IEE), Technische Universität Graz (Hg.): EnInnov2016. 14. Symposium Energieinnovation. Energie für unser Europa. 10.-12. Februar 2016 TU Graz, Österreich. Kurzfassungsband. Graz: Verlag der Technischen Universität Graz, S. 110-112.
  • 2015

  • Opielka, Michael (2015): Sachsen-Anhalt 4.0.. Wo steht das Land in 25 Jahren?. Dokumentation zu den Redebeiträgen des 22. Wittenberger Gesprächs am 11. März 2015. Staatskanzlei des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt. Magdeburg.
  • Opielka, Michael (2015): Zukunftsplan Mitte Deutschland. Dokumentation des Workshops vom 17. Juni 2015 an der Universität Leipzig/Metropolregion Mitteldeutschland. Berlin: IZT - Institut für Zukunftsstudien und Technologiebewertung (IZT-Text, 4-2015).
  • Behrendt, Siegfried; Scharp, Michael; Zieschank, Roland; van Nouhuys, Jo (2015): „Horizon Scanning“ und Trendmonitoring als ein Instrument in der Umweltpolitik zur strategischen Früherkennung und effizienten Politikberatung. Konzeptstudie. Dessau: Umweltbundesamt (Texte, 106/2015).
  • Behrendt, Siegfried; Nolte, Roland; Röben, Adrian (2015): Integrierte Roadmap III - Automation 2025+. Nachhaltige Rohstoffversorgung. Recycling als Rohstoffquelle. ZVEI - Zentralverband Elektrotechnik- und Elektronikindustrie, IZT - Institut für Zukunftsstudien und Technologiebewertung. Frankfurt am Main.
  • Behrendt, Siegfried; Nolte, Roland; Röben, Adrian (2015): Integrierte Roadmap III - Automation 2025+. Nachhaltige Rohstoffversorgung. Industrielle Biotechnologie. ZVEI - Zentralverband Elektrotechnik- und Elektronikindustrie und IZT - Institut für Zukunftsstudien und Technologiebewertung. Frankfurt am Main.
  • Degel, Melanie; Christ, Marion (2015): VerNetzen: Sozial-ökologische und technisch-ökonomische Modellierung von Entwicklungspfaden der Energiewende. In: BMBF/FONA (Hg.): „Umwelt- und gesellschaftsverträgliche Transformation des Energiesystems“. Zwischenergebnisse der 33 Forschungsprojekte und der Wissenschaftlichen Koordination. Statuskonferenz BMBF-Fördermaßnahme 2015. Bonn, 15. und 16. September, S. 197-202.
  • Bunke, Wolf-Dieter; Christ, Marion; Degel, Melanie (2015): VerNetzen: Sozial-ökologische und technisch-ökonomische Modellierung von Entwicklungspfaden der Energiewende. In: Bundesnetzagentur (Hg.): Wissenschaftsdialog 2014. Technologie, Landschaft und Kommunikation, Wirtschaft. Bonn, S. 107-127.
  • Göll, Edgar (2015): Praktische Relevanz, Nützlichkeit und Wirksamkeit. In: Gerhold, Lars; Holtmannspötter, Dirk; Neuhaus, Christian; Schulz-Montag, Beate; Steinmüller, Karlheinz; Zweck, Axel (Hg.): Standards und Gütekriterien der Zukunftsforschung. Ein Handbuch für Wissenschaft und Praxis. Wiesbaden: Springer VS, S. 155-162.
  • Göll, Edgar (2015): Verständnis von Typ, Rolle und Spezifik der Adressaten. In: Gerhold, Lars; Holtmannspötter, Dirk; Neuhaus, Christian; Schulz-Montag, Beate; Steinmüller, Karlheinz; Zweck, Axel (Hg.): Standards und Gütekriterien der Zukunftsforschung. Ein Handbuch für Wissenschaft und Praxis. Wiesbaden: Springer VS, S. 163-169.
  • 2014

  • Göll, Edgar (2014): Governance for a Better Future – Examples and Lessons Learned in Germany and Beyond. In: La Revue MCI (MCI – Madagascar Conseil), S. 119-125.
  • Opielka, Michael; Evers-Wölk, Michaela; Nolte, Roland; Göll, Edgar; Kamburow, Christian (2014): Erfolgreiche regionale Transformationsprozesse - Mögliche Zukünfte für die Region Ruhr. Kurzstudie im Auftrag der Brost-Stiftung. Berlin: IZT - Institut für Zukunftsstudien und Technologiebewertung (IZT Text, 1-2014).
  • Evers-Wölk, Michaela (2014): Technikfolgenabschätzung zum Gegenstand „mobile Internetnutzung von Kindern und Jugendlichen im Alter von 1 bis 16 Jahren in den kommenden 3 bis 5 Jahren“. In: i-KiZ – Zentrum für Kinderschutz im internet (Hg.): Jahresbericht, Annual Report 2014., S. 60-65.
  • 2013

  • Grabow, Busso; Hollbach-Grömig, Beate; Gröpler, Nicolai; Rechenberg, Christoph; Gaßner, Robert (2013): Szenarien für eine integrierte Nachhaltigkeitspolitik – am Beispiel: Die nachhaltige Stadt 2030. Band 3: Teilbericht „Nachhaltiges Wirtschaften in der Stadt 2030“. Dessau: Umweltbundesamt (Texte, 26/2013).
  • Gaßner, Robert (2013): Szenarien für eine integrierte Nachhaltigkeitspolitik – am Beispiel: Die nachhaltige Stadt 2030. Band 1: Überblick und Fazit. Dessau: Umweltbundesamt (Texte, 24/2013).
  • Gaßner, Robert (2013): Szenarios für die Nachhaltige Stadt 2030. „Kreislaufstadt“ und „Nachhaltige Wirtschaft in der Stadt“. Berlin: IZT - Institut für Zukunftsstudien und Technologiebewertung (WerkstattBericht, 120).
  • Göll, Edgar (2013): Future Studies and Research in Egypt - Overview, Examples, Perspectives. Arabische Übersetzung. Alexandria: Bibliotheca Alexandrina.
  • Verbücheln, Maic; Grabow, Busso; Uttke, Angela; Schwausch, Mandy; Gaßner, Robert (2013): Szenarien für eine integrierte Nachhaltigkeitspolitik – am Beispiel: Die nachhaltige Stadt 2030. Band 2: Teilbericht „Kreislaufstadt 2030“. Dessau: Umweltbundesamt (Texte, 25/2013).
 
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